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New Report: All New Cars Will Be Hybrids By 2020

IBM’s Institute for Business Value has interviewed 125 anonymous car industry executives from 15 countries and purchase viagra online has come to the conclusion, among several conclusions, that by 2020, all new cars will be hybrids.

The report, Automotive 2020: Clarity Beyond the Chaos, underlines insiders’ views that the auto industry is making some rapid, fundamental changes and hybrids are included in that change.

The report also highlights the growth in cellulosic ethanol, that average CO2 emissions for vehicles will dip to 97 g/km (lower than the Prius), and that hydrogen, despite all the crowing of advocates, will decidedly not be a major player in 2020.

Can we believe it? Every new car a hybrid? In 12 years? Well, looking at the rate we’re going on improving hybrid cars, and looking at the fluster surrounding the oil industry, the flagging economy, the growing awareness of climate change, as well as green trendiness, among consumers…yes, I have to say it is a distinct possibility. Twelve years is a long time in car years. Battery technology is improving, biofuel technology is growing, and consumers’ mindsets are shifting. So, yep, I have to say I definitely am willing to entertain the notion.

I think it’ll take a whole lot longer than 12 years to get all the gas-powered cars, trucks, and SUVs off the canadian cialis roads; but as for new cars on the lots, I’m optimistic they’ll all be hybrids of one form or another.

The whole report is well worth a solid read-through, but you can skip to page 8 for the specific info about hybrid production.

Via gas2; Photo via wildtexas

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Comments (18)Add Comment
written by Clinch, August 20, 2008
I wouldn't say it's obvious, but it kind of viagra uk delivery fast is really.
With a new technology (okay, hybrids aren't new technology, but they're much better than they were 20 years ago) that offers better value for money (through better efficiency), it will end up dominating the market.
It may even happen as soon as 5 years time.

The only way I see non-hybrids being made in the future, is if the rate of improvement in hybrid technology suddenly drops to zero, if some vast improvements are made in some other field of non-hybrid technology, or if fossil-fuel cars become something of a status symbol (much like ridiculously expensive, but very impractical sports cars).

written by Michelle, August 20, 2008
It makes sense to me -- I've been predicting it for the last year.

By 2020, I expect about half of all the cars on the U.S. roads to be all-electric. Of the remainder, virtually all will be hybrids. Most of the hybrids will use some form of ethanol or other non-traditional hydrocarbon fuel. A small number, 5% or less, will be gas guzzling "classics" driven by curmudgeonly holdouts -- the same people who prefer LP records to CDs.
I just worry...
written by Doug, August 20, 2008
... about the order cialis online order cialis "victim of click now viagra buying online our own success" angle. When a substantial fraction of the auto fleet has converted (but perhaps not so big, say 10%), oil prices could crash, stifling progress.

Some hope, though, lies in the fact that the electric drivetrain will require far, far less maintenance, not to mention the reduced brake wear. I'm spending $300-$500/yr or more just for regular 5k-mile maintenance visits for my '04 Camry. I'd imagine the visits could go to every 25k miles or more w/ (serial) hybrids. That can make for a big savings -- and save a lot of hassle -- right there, even ignoring gas prices.

And less visits to wholesale generic levitra gas stations can only be attractive, too. Who likes standing there, trying to avoid this hazardous substance getting on your clothes, in greasy, dirty surroundings?

Only issue might be the range-extending gas engine. Though the demands on it will be far less -- constant rpm & load, and likely used at all only 10% of the time -- so maintenance should be easier there too.

Hopefully, once enough first-hand knowledge about these additional benefits is out there, people will still be demanding (serial) hybrids even if gas prices drop.
Re:I Just Worry
written by EV, August 20, 2008
Doug, one thing to consider. In order for Gasoline to be competitive with Electricity, it needs to be about $1/gallon. Mind you, this ignores any premium you pay on cialis generic canada a car for the electric version vs. the gasoline version. While Gasoline may at some point drop to below $2/gallon, I doubt it will ever be $1/gallon again.
written by Shawn DeArmond, August 20, 2008
What a load. This is very discouraging. I expect car companies to make every new car a hybrid in 5 years, and every new car in 2020 MUST be all-electric. If car companies do not live up to wow it's great levitra pill my expectations, they are total and utter failures.
written by AndyM, August 20, 2008
And I am quite sure the CEO of every automaker is losing sleep over whether or not they live up to your expectations.
Need to be more efficient
written by Eddy De Clercq, August 21, 2008

As such I find this very good news, but hybrids needs to be more efficient then. As said in this blog, two journalists drove from London to Geneva with a Toyota Prius and a BMW 520d Efficient Dynamics. Surprisingly the Prius was less energy efficient but scored better CO2 wise.

written by Kelly, August 21, 2008
Hybrids are very much an interim technology, even a modern diesel engine can do better than a hybrid.
written by nuvi, August 21, 2008
Prius is more effecient.
Diesel is just more energy dense.
Thats why prius scored better CO2 wise.
written by Eddy De Clercq, August 21, 2008
@nuvi, as you correctly noticed the visit our site rx cialis figures in the blog were wrong and I've corrected them. The BMW did need less gas / 100 km.
written by jay p., August 21, 2008
i have to appreciate the fact that this is even a possibility. we haven't made a significant amount of progress in the automobile industry in more than 50 shawn d's comment, as much as we would love to believe that everything can and should be done now, i can only accept the fact that things take's unfortunate that we weren't forward thinking enough 30 years ago when gas prices spiked and shortages occurred, but let's be thankful that there is a real possibility we are not repeating ourselves.
BMW diesel better than Prius: muhahaha
written by sola, August 24, 2008
No Prius owner gets 35mpg from their Prius as the guys did when compared the Prius and the BMW. I personally get >50mpg (US) regularly (highway city).
They didn't even know about the bladder so they completely miscalculated the Prius consumption. Those guys are either a bad joke for being journalists or simply paid by BMW.
Prius efficiency declines daily
written by gorken, August 25, 2008
The batteries in a Prius degrade from the moment they leave the showroom. At age 2-3 years the MPG rating of a Prius is no better than a standard 4-cylinder car.

The replacement cost of a Prius battery set is horrendous.
written by begreen, August 25, 2008

With the exception of accident damage there is no record of how to buy viagra a 2004 or later Prius battery failing. If it should fail there is an 8 year 100,00 mile warranty.
written by N.T.Nair, August 27, 2008
Plug in hybrids should become commonplace one day earlier. Charging at night when electricity charges are lowest is welcome. Smaller cars with hybrid option should also be brought out, say, with 250- 400 CC IC engines
N T Nair
Nice FUD gorken
written by Dave, August 27, 2008
gorken, please back up your statements with fact:

Yes, while batteries do deteriorate with time and canada levitra prescription use, fuel economy is not affected by any significant degree unless the battery has failed.

The out of warranty battery failure rate is very low for both Honda and Toyota. There are hybrids of both makes with hundreds of thousands of miles (have served Taxi duty) with the original battery and the same fuel economy as new.

Old Priuses which get the same fuel economy as new ones.

The batteries in Toyota hybrids at least have an 8 year 100k mile warranty (as begreen has already stated). In states which adopt CARB standards, the warranty is 10 years / 150k miles.

Replacement cost of the battery is about $2-3k plus installation, significantly less if you can find a junkyard pull.

Toyota pays you a couple hundred bucks for your dead battery.
written by Chuck, August 27, 2008
Like to bet the recommended site cheap cialis no prescription mortgage on this this?

There will be troglodytes that want the ability to drive long distances in the western US on or offroad, the ability to tow or carry heavy loads such as an RV in isolated areas over rough terrain, and want the "feel", "sound" and "fury" of a Man's car of a powerful vehicle. Get real.
written by Kyle, September 03, 2008
By 2020, we'll still have a free market. Tell me, does everyone WANT hybrids? I personally want an electric car, and so do people in my family who don't subscribe to green RSS feeds. These executives definitely have a lack of understanding of the consumer. Let's not forget about trucks too, lol. Gosh, and to think -- these people probably make 20x more than any of us. Submit your resumes, folks. I sure am.

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