Researchers at the California Institute of Technology and the University of Washington have come to the conclusion that the world's coal supply has been vastly overestimated. The researchers believe that coal production could start dwindling as early as 2025, creating a world-wide energy crisis - yet another reason that renewable energy sources need to start replacing fossil fuels around the world, and soon.
The research is based on actual coal production patterns in the world's five greatest coal regions compared to what governments have self-reported to be their maximum extractable coal. The researchers have found that minable coal reserves have been overestimated by at least four times what is actually minable. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates maximum coal reservesto be 3,400 billion tons, while the new calculations put maximum coal reserves at just 666 billion tons.
Richard Heinberg of the Post Carbon Institute in California estimates that we'll see peak coal somewhere between 2025 and 2035 and he warns of not only an energy crisis at that time, but also an economic decline.
So while we've long been advocating for a switch from coal to prevent further climate change and to protect the planet, it seems the switch may be even more dire than we thought.
via Discovery News

written by Rojelio, May 13, 2009
written by Glenn, May 13, 2009
written by ed, May 13, 2009
Unfortunately the horizon for cataclysmic climate change is NOW!
unfortunately there's no way that all of us or any of us can stop burning hydrocarbons NOW. we can do as much as we can to reduce the use of hydrocarbons but if you want to stop all of it now then the whole world would come to a screaching halt....not very feasible.
written by bobbobberson, May 13, 2009
I am no fan of coal and think it will be obsolete here soon but it will not run out. Demand for coal will likely decline (at least for use in the US) There are vast expanses of the earth's crust that have not been explored and there are still vast hydrocarbons in storage for us to mine, but mining the sky is probably simplier.
Also the "cataclysmic climate change is NOW" crowd might as well just give up now if that's what they really think. Change happens slowly, and if there was 'unstoppable' climate change it would have happened already in the past, but it hasn't, it takes the earth 1000s of years to change its climate path.
written by Musson, May 13, 2009
If the USA quit burning hydrocarbons completely - within 20 years the Chinese would have increased their pollution level to make up the drop.
written by DGreenberg, May 13, 2009
Actually, you're wrong about climate change occuring over 1000s of years. There is ample evidence of several cases of dramatic and very fast (i.e. within a decade) climate change in the past. One example that I can recall right now is when something (I think the theory is a massive infusion of fresh water into the North Atlantic) shut down the Gulf stream. That happened at some point in the distant past within a matter of a few years or less. It created an ice age in Europe because the gulf stream brings so much heat to the N. Atlantic.
written by shek, May 14, 2009
written by Jazmin C., May 15, 2009
Reading these articles, and watching your youtube videos, and hearing your passion for an ecofriendly world has inspired me to be more environmentally friendly. Hank Green, I'm going green. [That's possibly the worst slogan I've ever created].
written by PC Hummel, May 19, 2009
written by IggyDalrymple, May 19, 2009
you don't have to tax it to death, do you?
written by Dan Cass, May 20, 2009
Last year I wrote about the Energy Watch Group, which was formed to keep the fossil fools accountable, providing governments with objective analysis on energy.
http://tinyurl.com/o6h5pb
Lets price coal out of existence before it peaks and use the $$ to make a smooth, equitable, rational transition.
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http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_...032707.php
article is a little old but good reading:
get articiial photosynthesis going and solve global warming and peak coal/oil problem. with this technology, burning fossil fuels can one day have 0 CO2 emissions.